Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
3 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 3
CEF
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 1
PRE
48%
22%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 0
RHY
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +4 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CEF
4 - 0
LLA
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |