Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 3
PRE
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AIR
3 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 3
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAL
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
POR
4 - 1
CEF
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 2
CON
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
RHY
1 - 1
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |