Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
AIR
3 - 1
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
TNS
1 - 1
NEW
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 0
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 2
RHY
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
CEF
3 - 2
PRE
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 1
CEF
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 2
AIR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
WEL
3 - 3
CEF
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
RHY
3 - 4
CEF
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |