Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
WEL
2 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 2
RHY
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
AIR
1 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 4
HAV
33%
26%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
5 - 1
CAE
63%
19%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NEA
3 - 0
CEF
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
RHY
1 - 0
CEF
74%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |