Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
LLA
3 - 2
NEW
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 1
CON
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 4
WEL
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
HAV
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 3
RHY
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CEF
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |