Newtown vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
11º
11º
32
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEW
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 4
CAE
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |