Newtown vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
11º
11º
21
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEW
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 4
CAE
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 1
ABE
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
CON
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
BRI
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
PEN
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 3
PEN
26%
22%
52%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |