Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
11º
6º
22
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 2
PON
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
HAV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 3
NEW
39%
24%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 1
ABE
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
ABE
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
TNS
11 - 0
ABE
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |