Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 1
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 3
PRE
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AIR
3 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAL
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ABE
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RHY
0 - 1
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAL
44%
23%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |