Newtongrange Star vs Penicuik Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
81%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtongrange Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
DUN
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 0
NEW
91%
7%
2%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
LOT
22%
18%
59%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SJU
3 - 2
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
3 - 1
NEW
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 0
PEN
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 3
PEN
15%
16%
69%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAM
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 0
JSW
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEN
9%
16%
75%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |