Newton Stewart vs Luncarty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newton Stewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CBF
6 - 1
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 1
NEW
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 3
COL
8%
12%
81%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 3
BRX
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
4 - 0
NEW
84%
11%
6%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Luncarty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LUN
3 - 1
LNF
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 1
LUN
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |