Newton Aycliffe vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
WHI
3 - 3
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
CCF
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 1
NEW
24%
21%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 5
NEW
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 3
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
TOW
33%
22%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
NEW
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WES
4 - 2
PEN
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
CCF
18%
19%
62%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
GUI
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |