Newton Aycliffe vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RAF
0 - 4
NEW
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 3
NEW
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
BIL
80%
12%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
GUI
60%
19%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
WES
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 3
GUI
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 4
CRO
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SEA
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 4
NEW
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 1
PEN
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |