Newton Aycliffe vs Ashington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 3
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
THO
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 5
NEW
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
RAF
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WES
5 - 0
ASH
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ASH
4 - 2
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASH
4 - 0
CRO
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SEA
2 - 1
ASH
23%
20%
56%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ASH
3 - 1
NEW
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |