Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NEY
3 - 2
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ARC
4 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
NEW
3 - 0
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LIM
3 - 1
NEW
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
INS
4 - 3
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
INS
3 - 3
NEY
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
INS
2 - 6
AUN
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |