Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 3
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 3
NEW
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PSN
1 - 6
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
5 - 1
ARD
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
INS
0 - 3
CLI
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
INS
3 - 0
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |