Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 0
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
CLI
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
POR
25%
22%
52%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
INS
3 - 0
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
CLI
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |