Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
DON
2 - 3
NEW
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
CLI
3 - 3
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 2
LAR
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
3 - 0
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIM
2 - 2
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DON
0 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |