Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 0
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 2
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 0
GLE
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LAR
3 - 3
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 4
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
CLI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |