Newquay AFC vs Shepton Mallet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
62.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newquay AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
TAV
0 - 2
NEW
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BMR
2 - 1
SHE
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
SHE
36%
23%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 0
AFC
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
SHE
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 5
SHE
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |