Newport YMCA vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NWP
2 - 2
PON
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
NWP
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NWP
11 - 1
ATG
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
NWP
1 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
TON
3 - 1
NWP
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PON
0 - 4
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
PON
0 - 7
CWM
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
CWM
5 - 0
PON
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
PON
0 - 9
GOY
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2007 |
PON
6 - 2
TAF
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |