Newport YMCA vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
NWP
3 - 0
LID
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
NWP
1 - 4
MAE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 3
NWP
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 1
BRY
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BRY
5 - 0
NWP
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2008 |
GOY
3 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAE
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
ATG
1 - 4
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |