Newport YMCA vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 2
NWP
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
PON
0 - 2
NWP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NWP
2 - 3
TON
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
NWP
1 - 4
NEA
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
NWP
1 - 0
ERA
40%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
BRI
40%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
MAE
1 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 2
DIN
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |