Newport County vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
NEW
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 1
WAL
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
NOR
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
LEY
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SCU
0 - 1
POR
22%
26%
53%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 2
SCU
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCU
0 - 4
EXE
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
SCU
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 0
TRA
21%
26%
54%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |