Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 1
CHE
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
3 - 2
OXF
44%
26%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 0
NEW
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 0
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BRO
3 - 1
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 1
BCF
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
OPA
1 - 0
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 3
ROC
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 1
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
HAR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |