Newport City vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+205%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
NWC
3 - 0
CAR
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 1
NWC
32%
22%
47%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
NWC
61%
21%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 1
NWC
62%
20%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NWC
1 - 2
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BDG
1 - 1
TAF
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LLA
0 - 1
BDG
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BDG
2 - 0
TRE
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BDG
1 - 1
LID
47%
23%
31%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BDG
6 - 1
GOY
54%
20%
26%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |