Newell's Vilanova i la Gelt vs Eusebi Guell A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Vilanova i la Gelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NVI
1 - 4
VMV
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 3
NVI
66%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
JRI
4 - 1
NVI
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NVI
3 - 2
PLA
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
NVI
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Eusebi Guell A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EGU
1 - 3
SCC
39%
23%
39%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VMV
2 - 1
EGU
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SMO
6 - 1
EGU
72%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
EGU
1 - 1
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EGU
2 - 0
CAN
29%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |