Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 1
NOB
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
NOB
0 - 0
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
NOB
4 - 0
BOC
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 0
NOB
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
NOB
38%
27%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 0
COL
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
SLO
4 - 2
CAU
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAU
2 - 2
RIV
27%
29%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
CAU
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 1
BEL
30%
28%
41%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |