Newcastle U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 analysis

Newcastle U21 Nottingham Forest U21
39 ELO 31
-2.4% Tilt 3.7%
6271º General ELO ranking 4915º
224º Country ELO ranking 148º
ELO win probability
66.1%
Newcastle U21
17.7%
Draw
16.2%
Nottingham Forest U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
Newcastle U21
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.2%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest U21
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newcastle U21
+29%
-3%
Nottingham Forest U21

Points and table prediction

Newcastle U21
Their league position
Nottingham Forest U21
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
41
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leeds United U21
43
43
100%
Southampton U21
42
42
100%
Nottingham Forest U21
41
41
100%
West Bromwich U21
35
35
100%
Aston Villa U21
33
33
100%
Norwich City U21
30
30
100%
Middlesbrough U21
26
26
100%
Newcastle U21
23
23
100%
Sunderland U21
20
20
100%
Stoke City U21
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Derby County U21
11º
1
1
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
Newcastle U21
Nottingham Forest U21
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Newcastle U21
Nottingham Forest U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newcastle U21
Newcastle U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2022
DON
Doncaster Rovers
0 - 0
Newcastle U21
NWC
78%
14%
8%
38 57 19 0
26 Aug. 2022
NWC
Newcastle U21
4 - 0
Derby County U21
DCO
72%
16%
12%
38 28 10 0
21 Aug. 2022
NOR
Norwich City U21
4 - 2
Newcastle U21
NWC
78%
15%
8%
38 52 14 0
15 Aug. 2022
NWC
Newcastle U21
0 - 1
Stoke City U21
STC
54%
21%
25%
39 38 1 -1
08 Aug. 2022
WBA
West Bromwich U21
2 - 1
Newcastle U21
NWC
43%
22%
35%
40 38 2 -1

Matches

Nottingham Forest U21
Nottingham Forest U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
LUS
Leeds United U21
5 - 1
Nottingham Forest U21
NOT
75%
14%
10%
33 44 11 0
22 Aug. 2022
NOT
Nottingham Forest U21
1 - 4
Middlesbrough U21
MID
40%
22%
38%
34 37 3 -1
08 Aug. 2022
NOT
Nottingham Forest U21
1 - 3
Southampton U21
SOU
22%
23%
55%
36 47 11 -2