Jorge Newbery Junín vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery Junín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 1
JNJ
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JNJ
1 - 0
RGM
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BRC
1 - 2
JNJ
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JNJ
1 - 2
LIN
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
JNJ
77%
16%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
DCM
1 - 1
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
DCM
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
IND
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DCM
0 - 1
IND
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |