Jorge Newbery Junín vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery Junín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
DCM
4 - 0
JNJ
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
JNJ
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
JNJ
1 - 3
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
AGR
4 - 1
JNJ
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
JNJ
4 - 2
LIN
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 2
EVE
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RGM
0 - 0
IND
9%
16%
75%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 0
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
AGR
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PSM
3 - 4
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |