FA Cup Previa 1
Global 3-1
Newark Flowserve vs Lutterworth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newark Flowserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NEF
3 - 1
ECF
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MIC
4 - 1
NEF
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
RUS
0 - 5
NEF
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 4
NEF
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
NEF
4 - 0
DEE
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
RUG
1 - 1
LUT
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LUT
0 - 6
LOU
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
LUT
2 - 0
STA
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LUT
0 - 3
HED
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WES
3 - 2
LUT
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |