New York RB III vs Ocean City Nor'easters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
NEW
9%
14%
77%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
LEH
1 - 2
NEW
9%
13%
78%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LON
2 - 1
NEW
46%
21%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CSR
2 - 1
NEW
27%
20%
53%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 3
REA
28%
23%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ocean City Nor'easters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
CSR
2 - 1
OCE
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
OCE
2 - 1
EVE
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
LEH
2 - 0
OCE
6%
11%
83%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
LON
1 - 3
OCE
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
OCE
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |