New York RB III vs Morris Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
NEW
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
CSR
68%
17%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
NJC
0 - 2
NEW
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
LON
0 - 0
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MSC
3 - 0
NEW
41%
22%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Morris Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
MOE
59%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
MSC
4 - 0
MOE
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
WES
1 - 3
MOE
51%
21%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MOE
0 - 3
LON
9%
15%
77%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
MOE
0 - 2
NJC
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |