New York RB III vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 2
NEW
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
LEH
1 - 2
NEW
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 3
NEW
12%
20%
69%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
OCE
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
JER
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
OCE
4 - 1
JER
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
JER
0 - 2
OCE
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
EVE
3 - 1
JER
16%
17%
68%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
LEH
3 - 2
JER
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
JER
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |