New York RB III vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
REA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
6 - 0
EVE
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEH
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
JER
1 - 1
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
OCE
5 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
NEW
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
JER
1 - 1
EVE
86%
9%
5%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
JER
0 - 4
REA
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -3 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
OCE
3 - 1
JER
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
JER
1 - 1
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |