New York RB III vs Evergreen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.2%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.3%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.8%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2019 |
MEM
3 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
22%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
NEW
4 - 4
FCM
47%
22%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
REA
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
GBF
1 - 2
NEW
17%
17%
66%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
OCE
2 - 1
NEW
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Evergreen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CSR
1 - 1
EVE
90%
8%
3%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
EVE
4 - 1
NEW
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
6 - 2
EVE
94%
5%
1%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
LON
3 - 2
EVE
93%
6%
2%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |