New Salamis vs Bowers and Pitsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
16º
19º
16º
73
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Salamis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
NSA
3 - 1
GRA
49%
21%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
NSA
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 1
NSA
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
NSA
3 - 1
RED
24%
19%
58%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RED
2 - 2
NSA
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
WOT
4 - 3
BOW
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
2 - 2
WOT
21%
20%
60%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
0 - 1
BRI
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BOW
1 - 1
WEL
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
ASH
0 - 0
BOW
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |