New Mills vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
3 - 3
NEW
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
HUC
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GOO
0 - 4
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 3
ILK
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 6
CAR
10%
18%
73%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
SUT
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
SHE
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 3
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |