New Inn vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
76%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 5
LID
15%
16%
68%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 3
ABB
81%
11%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 7
AAF
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
5 - 2
ABB
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 5
TRE
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |