New Club vs Case-Pilote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
3º
2º
14
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GOO
1 - 6
NEW
14%
18%
69%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
6 - 2
TRE
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 1
NEW
40%
22%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 1
CPE
48%
21%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
NEW
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVP
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
USR
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RCS
4 - 0
CAS
42%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
NEW
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AIG
1 - 1
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |