Nevezis vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
75%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ZAL
6 - 0
NEV
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NEV
1 - 1
DTE
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KZA
2 - 0
NEV
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TRA
4 - 0
NEV
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NEV
1 - 3
PAN
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ZAL
6 - 0
NEV
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 3
ZAL
6%
17%
77%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HLI
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ZAL
1 - 1
TRA
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 0
ZAL
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |