Nevezis vs Stumbras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UUT
5 - 2
NEV
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
FKS
3 - 1
NEV
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
NEV
2 - 0
KZA
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LIE
4 - 4
NEV
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
NEV
1 - 1
LOK
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Stumbras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STU
2 - 2
LIE
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 0
STU
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
STU
1 - 3
ZAL
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STU
3 - 1
SIL
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
STU
7 - 0
BAL
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |