Nevezis vs NFA Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NEV
1 - 1
FKP
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GRV
0 - 1
NEV
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 1
NEV
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NEV
0 - 0
LIE
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LIK
1 - 6
NEV
18%
19%
63%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
NFA Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NFA
2 - 4
GRV
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FKP
4 - 1
NFA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VEK
3 - 1
NFA
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NFA
1 - 1
SIL
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 0
NFA
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |