Nevezis vs NFA Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NEV
1 - 0
FKP
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NEV
2 - 3
GRV
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NFA
3 - 4
NEV
24%
22%
54%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 3
NEV
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FKE
2 - 0
NEV
62%
20%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
NFA Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NFA
6 - 2
GRV
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LIK
0 - 0
NFA
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NFA
10 - 1
VEK
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GRV
3 - 1
NFA
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NFA
3 - 4
NEV
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |