Nevezis vs FK Siauliai 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
15º
7º
11
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
NEV
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 1
FHL
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
1 - 0
NEV
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NEV
4 - 0
FHL
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
NEV
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Siauliai 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SIA
0 - 0
FKT
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
NEP
5 - 1
SIA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FKE
2 - 4
SIA
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SIA
1 - 3
BFA
44%
23%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SIA
3 - 1
FKT
29%
22%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |