Nieves CF vs Progresista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2383%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieves CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PON
0 - 3
NEV
45%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NEV
2 - 0
RIV
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 2
NEV
40%
23%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NEV
1 - 1
VIL
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LTA
1 - 1
NEV
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Progresista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
MOS
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
XIN
1 - 0
PRO
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
4 - 0
ALP
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TYD
0 - 2
PRO
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
ARB
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |