Neusiedl vs FCM Traiskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
13º
12º
47
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
83% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 0
NEU
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NEU
3 - 3
SCH
50%
21%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
NEU
6 - 0
DRA
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
NEU
1 - 3
WAT
4%
11%
85%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
NEU
0 - 3
FAC
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
FCM Traiskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
3 - 2
WIE
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
WIE
2 - 1
FCM
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 2
KRE
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SVS
0 - 1
FCM
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
KAP
0 - 0
FCM
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |