Neusiedl vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GUS
2 - 2
NEU
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 0
SIG
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STI
1 - 2
NEU
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
5 - 0
FCW
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 0
HOR
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
PUR
0 - 1
STM
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BAU
0 - 3
PUR
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
PUR
0 - 0
KLI
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
6 - 0
PUR
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
2 - 0
PUR
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |