Neusiedl vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 1
NEU
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
NEU
1 - 0
SVH
9%
17%
74%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
NEU
3 - 1
STP
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
AMS
1 - 0
NEU
77%
16%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
NEU
0 - 2
STA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 2
STA
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
FCM
68%
18%
13%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
AUS
0 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 2
EBR
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
RAP
5 - 0
MAN
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |